Role of time scale in the spreading of asymmetrically interacting diseases

Asymmetrical interaction between spreading processes, such as epidemics and information.

Abstract

Diseases and other contagion phenomena in nature and society can interact asymmetrically, such that one can benefit from the other, which in turn impairs the first, in analogy with predator-prey systems. Here, we consider two models for interacting diseaselike dynamics with asymmetric interactions and different associated time scales. Using rate equations for homogeneously mixed populations, we show that the stationary prevalences and phase diagrams of each model behave differently with respect to variations of the relative time scales. We also characterize in detail the regime where transient oscillations are observed, a pattern that is inherent to asymmetrical interactions but often ignored in the literature. Our results contribute to a better understanding of disease dynamics in particular, and interacting processes in general, and could provide interesting insights for real-world applications.

Publication
Phys. Rev. Res. 3, 013146
Paulo Cesar Ventura
Paulo Cesar Ventura
Postdoctoral fellow

A physicist working with epidemic models in multiscale populations and complex networks.