Publications

Paulo Cesar Ventura, Yong Dam Jeong, Maria Litvinova, Allisandra G. Kummer, Shingo Iwami, Hongjie Yu, Stefano Merler, Alessandro Vespignani, Keisuke Ejima, Marco Ajelli (2026). VIBES: A Multi-Scale Modeling Approach Integrating Within-Host and Between-Hosts Dynamics in Epidemics. PNAS [123 (13)].

Cheng Peng, Nana Chen, Bo-Wen Ming, Anqi Zhang, Yao Zuo, Paulo Cesar Ventura, Hongjie Yu, Marco Ajelli, Juanjuan Zhang (2026). Understanding Human Mobility Patterns under a Public Health Emergency. Infec Dis Mod 11(1).

Xinyi Hua, Laura W. Alexander, Ingra M. Claro, Yucai Shao, Ronaldo De Jesus, Shirlene T. S. De Lima, Paulo Cesar Ventura, Rodrigo B. Kato, Marco Ajelli, André B. B. Wilke, Marc A. Suchard, Nuno R. Faria, José Luiz Proenca-Modena, Laura B. Dickson, Ana I. Bento, William M. De Souza (2026). Ecological and demographic drivers of Oropouche virus transmission. Nature Health [Vol 1, 487-496].

Maria Litvinova, Shelly Sinclair, Allisandra G. Kummer, Paulo Cesar Ventura, Trevor Foster, Kayoko Shioda, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Alessandro Vespignani, Marco Ajelli (2025). Epistorm-Mix: Mapping Social Contact Patterns for Respiratory Pathogen Spread in the Post-Pandemic United States. medRxiv.

Shreeya Mhade, Utkarsh Bhosekar, Megan D. Hill, Shelly Sinclair, Snigdha Agrawal, Jessica Guerrini, Luling Zou, Anna Koebcke, Allisandra G. Kummer, Paulo C. Ventura, Sara Y. Del Valle, Matteo Chinazzi, Maria Litvinova, Alessandro Vespignani, Marco Ajelli (2025). Mapping the Landscape of Individual-Based Models for Respiratory Pathogen Transmission in the Pandemic and Post-Pandemic Era (2020-2024): A Systematic Review. No Journal [Vol No Volume, (Issue 5736584)].

Jagadeesh Chitturi, Paulo Cesar Ventura, Allisandra G. Kummer, Chalmers Vasquez, Ethan SeRine, Megan D. Hill, Mattia Manica, Piero Poletti, John C. Beier, Keisuke Ejima, Michael Johansson, Stefano Merler, Hongjie Yu, John-Paul Mutebi, Maria Litvinova, André B. B. Wilke, Marco Ajelli (2025). Evaluating Field Trial Designs for Genetically Modified Mosquito Interventions: An In-Silico Simulation Approach. bioRxiv.

Yunyi Cai, Weiyi Wang, Lanlan Yu, Ruixiao Wang, Gui-Quan Sun, Allisandra G. Kummer, Paulo C. Ventura, Jiancheng Lv, Marco Ajelli, Quan-Hui Liu (2025). Assessing the Effectiveness of Test-Trace-Isolate Interventions Using a Multi-Layered Temporal Network. Inf. Dis. Mod. 10(3).

Paulo Cesar Ventura, Allisandra G. Kummer, André B. B. Wilke, Jagadeesh Chitturi, Megan D. Hill, Chalmers Vasquez, Isik Unlu, Susanne Kluh, Steven Vetrone, Dan Damian, John Townsend, Maria Litvinova, Marco Ajelli (2024). Forecasting the Relative Abundance of Aedes Vector Populations to Enhance Situational Awareness for Mosquito Control Operations. Plos Neg. Trop. Dis. 18(11).

Sarabeth M. Mathis, Alexander E. Webber, Tomás M. León, Erin L. Murray, Monica Sun, Lauren A. White, Logan C. Brooks, Alden Green, Addison J. Hu, Roni Rosenfeld, Dmitry Shemetov, Ryan J. Tibshirani, Daniel J. McDonald, Sasikiran Kandula, Sen Pei, Rami Yaari, Teresa K. Yamana, Jeffrey Shaman, Pulak Agarwal, Srikar Balusu, Gautham Gururajan, Harshavardhan Kamarthi, B. Aditya Prakash, Rishi Raman, Zhiyuan Zhao, Alexander Rodríguez, Akilan Meiyappan, Shalina Omar, Prasith Baccam, Heidi L. Gurung, Brad T. Suchoski, Steve A. Stage, Marco Ajelli, Allisandra G. Kummer, Maria Litvinova, Paulo C. Ventura, Spencer Wadsworth, Jarad Niemi, Erica Carcelen, Alison L. Hill, Sara L. Loo, Clifton D. McKee, Koji Sato, Claire Smith, Shaun Truelove, Sung-Mok Jung, Joseph C. Lemaitre, Justin Lessler, Thomas McAndrew, Wenxuan Ye, Nikos Bosse, William S. Hlavacek, Yen Ting Lin, Abhishek Mallela, Graham C. Gibson, Ye Chen, Shelby M. Lamm, Jaechoul Lee, Richard G. Posner, Amanda C. Perofsky, Cécile Viboud, Leonardo Clemente, Fred Lu, Austin G. Meyer, Mauricio Santillana, Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T. Davis, Kunpeng Mu, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Alessandro Vespignani, Xinyue Xiong, Michal Ben-Nun, Pete Riley, James Turtle, Chis Hulme-Lowe, Shakeel Jessa, V. P. Nagraj, Stephen D. Turner, Desiree Williams, Avranil Basu, John M. Drake, Spencer J. Fox, Ehsan Suez, Monica G. Cojocaru, Edward W. Thommes, Estee Y. Cramer, Aaron Gerding, Ariane Stark, Evan L. Ray, Nicholas G. Reich, Li Shandross, Nutcha Wattanachit, Yijin Wang, Martha W. Zorn, Majd Al Aawar, Ajitesh Srivastava, Lauren A. Meyers, Aniruddha Adiga, Benjamin Hurt, Gursharn Kaur, Bryan L. Lewis, Madhav Marathe, Srinivasan Venkatramanan, Patrick Butler, Andrew Farabow, Naren Ramakrishnan, Nikhil Muralidhar, Carrie Reed, Matthew Biggerstaff, Rebecca K. Borchering (2024). Evaluation of FluSight Influenza Forecasting in the 2021-22 and 2022-23 Seasons with a New Target Laboratory-Confirmed Influenza Hospitalizations. Nat. Comm. 15(1).

Paulo C. Ventura, Andre B. B. Wilke, Jagadeesh Chitturi, Allisandra G. Kummer, Snigdha Agrawal, Chalmers Vasquez, Yaziri Gonzalez, Maria Litvinova, John-Paul Mutebi, Marco Ajelli (2024). Unveiling the Role of Mosquito and Human Diel Activity Patterns in the Risk of Mosquito-Borne Disease Infection. medRxiv.